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Followers
18.4K
Account age
3 yrs
💰 Suggested sponsorship rate
$103 – $168 / sponsored post
Estimated from audience size & typical reach — every deal is negotiable and held in SocialDB escrow.
🧰 Free analysis for Jeffrey Lewis
Known for
📊 Post engagement
73
Avg engagement / post
0.4%
Engagement vs followers
May 2023
On Bluesky since
🔥 Top post: After more than fifteen years, I've resigned from the James Mart · 166 likes + reposts
📊 Activity & format
Posting cadence
2.8 / week
Posts several times a week.
Content mix
Mostly text
Recent: 8 text · 4 image · 0 video.
Follower / following
142×
Follows 130 back. A strong ratio — an audience that follows them, not a follow-for-follow network.
Recent posts
View on Bluesky ↗
The fact that I can query the codebase means I know a lot more about how Thrusty works than, say, Missile Tool Kit.
First our OSINT team, now LeBron. It’s been a good week for Philly. @fpri.bsky.social
Some news! As many of you know, I've been a Distinguished Research Fellow at @fpri.bsky.social consulting with @aaronstein1.bsky.social on space and missile defense. Today it gets much better: the whole freaking open-source research team i…
This isn't true, at least not yet. Most generative AI leaves very distinct digital signatures that aren't so hard to spot. That might not be true forever, of course, and things are changing fast ... but I strongly suspect we could tell t…
If anyone has the original McConnell photo, I'd be delighted to run it through our photo forensics software (Tungstene) -- although I have no real doubts about it.
This is extremely funny.
Given the navigation warnings that China issued, the range of the SLBM was probably about 7,000 km--more consistent with the JL-2 than the 10,000 km range JL-3. (However, range in US docs is often carefully hedged, i.e. "According to media…
A few thoughts on China's SLBM test. This isn't as big a deal as everyone is making it out to be. Nuclear weapons states have missiles and they test them.
One of these things is not like the others. Take a deep breath, people.
I very much want the USMNT to defeat Bosnia but either way it is a VICTORY FOR AMERICAN AIRPOWER.
These are just fireworks to celebrate the signing of the MOU and the fact that the Strait is very, very open.
🦋 Handle & authenticity
Bluesky handle
@armscontrolwonk.bsky.social
A default .bsky.social handle — genuine, but not domain-verified. Confirm identity before a high-value deal.
On Bluesky since
May 2023
An early adopter from the invite-only beta (before the Feb 2024 public launch) — an original, established account.
💡 Facts
🗓️Joined Bluesky in 2023 — 3 years ago.
👁️Averages 73 views per post.
📤Posts about 2.8× per week.
🏅Earned the 10K Followers for passing 10K followers.
🕵️ Fake follower check
Estimated72/100
Good
Credibility score
94%
Real
Real audience
Low
Fake-follower risk
High
Data confidence
- Est. 94% real, active audience · Low fake-follower risk.
- Engagement (~0.4% of followers engage each post) is around typical for Bluesky.
- Organic base — far more followers than accounts it follows.
- Established account (3+ years old).
Heuristic estimate from engagement, follower ratios, account age & growth — a screening signal, not a guarantee.
About
Professor at the Middlebury Institute, member of the National Academies Committee on International Security and Arms Control, and former member of the State Department's International Security Advisory Board.
📸 Gallery
🔀 Audience overlap
EstimatedEstimated shared audience with similar creators — useful for avoiding overlap (or doubling down) when planning a campaign.
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