Ed Bradford

Bluesky @fullcarry.net

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Followers

55.5K

Account age

1 yrs

🧰 Free analysis for Ed Bradford

🕵️ Fake follower check 📊 Engagement rate 💰 What they charge

Known for

Given the post-COVID inflation experience, its strange how little inflation risk the markets are pricing. 30y inflation swap is literally pinned to the Fed's inflation target (adjusting for PCE-CPI wedge). Same is true of 30y breakevens

22 views Given the post-COVID inflation experience, its strange how little inflation risk the markets are pricing. 30y inflation swap is literally pinned to the Fed's inflation target (adjusting for PCE-CPI wedge). Same is true of 30y breakevens

17 views Real 30s eyeballing 3%

17 views With 1-year inflation swap printing below 2%, Fed should pass on hiking this week

It has been fashionable in the post-QE era to attribute every long-end foray above 5% to some policy error, whether fiscal or monetary, but if anything long is still rich on the curve and has room to head higher.

Long term 30s spread to overnight rates

10 views It has been fashionable in the post-QE era to attribute every long-end foray above 5% to some policy error, whether fiscal or monetary, but if anything long is still rich on the curve and has room to head higher. Long term 30s spread to overnight rates

📊 Post engagement

Avg engagement / post

Engagement vs followers

Nov 2024

On Bluesky since

🔥 Top post: Given the post-COVID inflation experience, its strange how littl · 22 likes + reposts

📊 Activity & format

Posting cadence

11.9 / week

Posts daily — consistently active for a campaign window.

Content mix

Mostly images

Recent: 5 text · 7 image · 0 video.

Follower / following

408×

Follows 136 back. A strong ratio — an audience that follows them, not a follow-for-follow network.

Recent posts

View on Bluesky ↗

🔥 Top post Given the post-COVID inflation experience, its strange how little inflation risk the markets are pricing. 30y inflation swap is literally pinned to the Fed's inflation target (adjusting for PCE-CPI wedge). Same is true of 30y breakevens ★ 22

Private wages down to 3.1% YoY ★ 8

Benign YoY Dallas Fed trimmed mean PCE ★ 6 Smart move by Japan's MOF to intervene (assuming) after Fed passed on a rate hike. ★ 10

It has been fashionable in the post-QE era to attribute every long-end foray above 5% to some policy error, whether fiscal or monetary, but if anything long is still rich on the curve and has room to head higher. Long term 30s spread to … ★ 10

Real 30s eyeballing 3% ★ 17 Clearly USTs need more of an uncertainty premium going forward. Too much angst the day of an FOMC decision ★ 9 If you want a hike today go to the White Mountains. Odds low you get one from the Fed at this meeting ★ 19 USTs rationally IMO positioning for no hike tomorrow. With crude prices down another 5% and 1-year inflation swap down to 1.85, Fed has time on their side. 2s obviously best long if no hike but before announcement belly is a safer bet in… ★ 9

Conference Board labor market gauge continues to weaken ★ 3

With 1-year inflation swap printing below 2%, Fed should pass on hiking this week ★ 17 Bunched up front-end auctions Monday (2s & 5s) and Tuesday (7s) will keep the pressure on before the main event on Wed (FOMC). Sell side continues mostly projecting no rate change but market odds still a material 30-40% ★ 10

🦋 Handle & authenticity

✅ Domain-verified

@fullcarry.net

The handle is the domain fullcarry.net. On Bluesky a domain handle proves the owner controls that website — so this is verifiably the real fullcarry.net account, not an impersonator.

On Bluesky since

Nov 2024

Joined after Bluesky opened to the public — a settled account with a real history.

💡 Facts

🗓️Joined Bluesky in 2024 — 1 year ago.

👁️Averages 12 views per post.

📤Posts about 11.9× per week.

🏅Earned the 10K Followers for passing 10K followers.

🛡️ Audience credibility

44/100

Fair Credibility score

73%

Mixed Real audience

Medium Fake-follower risk

High Data confidence

Est. 73% real, active audience · Medium fake-follower risk.
Low engagement (~0.0% of followers engage each post) — a sign of an inflated or inactive audience.
Organic base — far more followers than accounts it follows.

Heuristic estimate from engagement, follower ratios, account age & growth — a screening signal, not a guarantee.

About

US government bond trader since '93 with the usual stints along the way at primary dealers and HFs. Now on my own. Pseudonym

📸 Gallery

🔀 Audience overlap

Estimated

Estimated shared audience with similar creators — useful for avoiding overlap (or doubling down) when planning a campaign.

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crumb 10%

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Ed Bradford

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Known for

📊 Post engagement

📊 Activity & format

Recent posts

🦋 Handle & authenticity

💡 Facts

🛡️ Audience credibility

About

📸 Gallery

🔀 Audience overlap

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