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See also the Horizon Europe #EPOCproject where we dive deeper into #AMOC proxies, high resolution coupled modelling for missing key processes, latitude-spanning (34°S to Arctic) approaches, and new sensors for carbon/AMOC transports.
http://epoc-eu.org
11/11
26 views
Summary report in progress.
Sneak peak--we need:
- to reconcile missing key processes
- new approaches for basin-scale #AMOC understanding and,
- compound impacts of AMOC with carbon and cryosphere
- better articulation of societal impacts
Maybe education too. AMOC is not the #gulfstream
10/11
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Scientists gathered in Hamburg to discuss the state of #AMOC research and observations. From the observational record, a majority agreed that we don't yet know how the AMOC will respond to future anthropogenic change.
#AMOC2023 #CLIVAR https://shorturl.at/adewO
9/11
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Statistical tools can be helpful, but run the risk of over-simplifying relationships in the climate system (i.e., how the #AMOC responds to freshwater, or the net effect of small-scale eddies on large-scale circulation).
Johnson et al. 2019 (https://shorturl.at/qMW28)
7/11
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🔥 Top post: See also the Horizon Europe #EPOCproject where we dive deeper in · 26 likes + reposts
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See also the Horizon Europe #EPOCproject where we dive deeper into #AMOC proxies, high resolution coupled modelling for missing key processes, latitude-spanning (34°S to Arctic) approaches, and new sensors for carbon/AMOC transports.
http://epoc-eu.org
11/11
Back deck of the MS Merian on expedition MSM121. Deploying moorings for the Horizon Europe project EPOC: explaining and predicting the ocean conveyor. Http://epoc-eu.org
👉Faculty job opening: Professorship at University of Bremen in Physical Oceanography.
See announcement here: shorturl.at/kMNT8 due 09/12/2023
Summary report in progress.
Sneak peak--we need:
- to reconcile missing key processes
- new approaches for basin-scale #AMOC understanding and,
- compound impacts of AMOC with carbon and cryosphere
- better articulation of societal impacts…
Scientists gathered in Hamburg to discuss the state of #AMOC research and observations. From the observational record, a majority agreed that we don't yet know how the AMOC will respond to future anthropogenic change.
#AMOC2023 #CLIVAR ht…
More complex models don't necessarily represent those relationships either. On account of models missing key processes, the IPCC AR6 report reduced confidence to medium (50%) that the #AMOC won't collapse by 2100.
IPCC AR6 WG1 Chapter 9 E…
Statistical tools can be helpful, but run the risk of over-simplifying relationships in the climate system (i.e., how the #AMOC responds to freshwater, or the net effect of small-scale eddies on large-scale circulation).
Johnson et al. 2…
The latest study (https://shorturl.at/fqyO8) is based on a statistical analysis of SST fingerprints not #AMOC measurements (remember, only available since 2004). It cites increases in variability as indicating that the system is moving to…
Metrics for the strength of the #AMOC at different latitudes give different numbers.
On the one hand, this is unsurprising. The AMOC is a system of currents (not the #GulfStream). But it does complicate the picture compared to a simple '…
The #AMOC can temporarily reverse. In 2009/10 and again later, the northward heat flux of the AMOC stopped and even reversed.
Temporarily! (These reversals were due to changing winds.)
McCarthy et al. 2012 (https://shorturl.at/adgiM)
4/11
Atmospheric variability can 'imprint' on the #AMOC strength.
We expected that cooling would matter, but find out that wind also matters didn't fit our classical view of the AMOC as a slowly varying circulation.
Jackson et al (2022) sums it…
The #AMOC is highly variable. More variable than scientists expected when the observations began.
https://rapid.ac.uk/data.php
2/11
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